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ForecastWatch May Wrap-up and News
A look back at ForecastWatch blog posts and ClimateWatch newsletters over the last month.
May Wrap-Up
China’s AI Model Pangu Makes Waves
An artificial intelligence-powered weather prediction system called Pangu is garnering a lot of attention globally as it aims to revolutionize weather forecasting. Pangu, created by Huawei in China, creates high-resolution global forecasts for locations roughly 27 kilometers apart generated in under 10 seconds.
Tian Qi, the leader of Pangu’s research and development team, said it uses neural network models for weather forecasting systems and achieves higher prediction accuracy than other AI forecasting models. Accurate weather forecasting is of significant importance for wind power generation, precipitation forecasting, earthquake disaster reduction and guiding agricultural production, and Pangu provides a breakthrough in advancement of quality forecasting according to Tian.

The Latest Hurricane Season Predictions
Growing concerns have continued for the upcoming hurricane season which begins on June 1st. Experts have been calling for the El Nino pattern to transition to a La Nina pattern during the hurricane season. La Nina, coupled with already historically warm water in the Atlantic Ocean, could make for an historic hurricane season.
In long term averages for hurricane seasons, 14.4 named storms, 7.2 hurricanes, and 3.2 major hurricanes can be expected. The first named system in the Atlantic typically forms around June 20, with meteorologists estimating the first hurricane by August 11. Let’s see how this compares to recent predictions from various universities.

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Check out the newsletters from May:
Could Planetary Temperatures Moderate Soon?
We are in uncharted climate territory – April marked the 11th consecutive month of record global heat. But some climate scientists say there is reason to predict planetary temperatures could moderate soon, though they would remain far above old normals because of human-caused global warming.
One climate scientist says that if 2024 follows current trends, global temperatures should fall out of record trends in the next month or two. We have been in an El Nino pattern over the past year, which has caused extreme heat waves, drought, and floods across the world.
As El Nino wanes and we move into a La Nina pattern, ocean surface temperatures should cool.

AccuWeather Analyzed Their Long-range Solar Eclipse Forecast
Millions of Americans and tourists were able to experience the total solar eclipse on April 8, 2024 thanks to clear skies or limited clouds along much of the path of totality. It is estimated that billions of dollars were invested in travel, lodging, and outdoor event planning from Texas to Maine.
AccuWeather’s team of meteorologists worked around the clock to provide cloud cover forecasts beginning on March 8 leading up to the eclipse. Their main goal was to provide advanced insight to help millions of people and thousands of businesses prepare for the one-in-a-lifetime event during a month that is notorious for seasonal transitions, severe storms, and cloud cover. So how did they do? Find out in their analysis.

THIS IS ACCUWEATHER’S OWN ANALYSIS. NOT ANALYZED BY FORECASTWATCH.
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